Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by December meeting?No | buy | 955.66 | $0.010 | $10 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 370.37 |
| $0.027 |
| $10 |
| Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Israel invade Iran before July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.019 | $0.95 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.036 | $1.26 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.015 | $1.05 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.020 | $10.2 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | sell | 1.96K | $0.020 | $39.86 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Trump announces large troop withdrawal from South Korea before July?Yes | buy | 22.3 | $0.018 | $0.4 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 North Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.130 | $1.04 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| North Korea x South Korea military clash by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Israel confirms it has nuclear weapons in 2025?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.150 | $1.05 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Iran nuclear test in 2025?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.022 | $1.1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Iran behind June 12 internet outages?Yes | buy | 69.32 | $0.009 | $0.62 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.013 | $1.04 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.006 | $1.02 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 U.S. withdraws from Syria before July?Yes | buy | 235.37 | $0.003 | $0.71 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump rename Greenland 'Red, White, and Blueland' before July?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.003 | $1.05 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.017 | $1.02 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 122.22 | $0.030 | $3.73 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.013 | $0.13 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 19.01 | $0.013 | $0.25 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 17.92 | $0.015 | $0.27 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump rename Greenland 'Red, White, and Blueland' before July?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will US leave NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.007 | $0.7 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 112.42 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by June meeting?Yes | buy | 45.26 | $0.022 | $1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 108.43 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.017 | $1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will US leave NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 99.11 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 8, 2025 |