Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 8 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 341 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2025 to 13 Jan 2026, the highest close was 7.4% on 8 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. $224.74K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 14, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 341 points, 8 Feb 2025 – 13 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2025 | 3.5% |
| 13 Jan 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ladysolsol | Yes | 1.63K |
| aky8o | Yes | 1.6K |
| alilili1 | Yes | 1K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 10.1 percent or more over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2025 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2025 report is issued. Once the December 2025 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2025 is not issued by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2025
| Freemoney23 | Yes | 248.26 |
| power1337 | Yes | 131.47 |
| yhbvkmx | Yes | 124.89 |
| Ksaich-Pack1 | Yes | 100 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 76 |
| bigbrainUser | Yes | 50 |
| Yukaii | Yes | 46.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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