Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8% on 21 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 21 Feb 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 13.3% on 4 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 13.3% on 4 Mar 2025. $82.81K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 9:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 21 Feb 2025 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2025 | 8.0% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Blipster | Yes | 2.98K |
| faberjuk1 | Yes | 814.8 |
| ArthurGreen | Yes | 758.21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Ukraine between February 20 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Ukrainian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Ukrainian state or members of the Ukrainian government will not qualify. The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Ukraine within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-sanction-ukraine-before-april
| Yes |
| 654.78 |
| mry | Yes | 433.07 |
| kleisthenes | Yes | 307.59 |
| PhiDeKonglo | Yes | 200.01 |
| Bavarian-legenda | Yes | 157.14 |
| yarchuk | Yes | 73.53 |
| funnybunny | Yes | 50.5 |
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