Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 27.4 | $0.949 | $26 | May 18, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 18.82 |
| $0.939 |
| $17.67 |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
 Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?No | buy | 26.4 | $0.947 | $25 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 12.41 | $0.967 | $12 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?No | buy | 16.55 | $0.967 | $16 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.976 | $16.26 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | sell | 8.35 | $0.910 | $7.6 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.840 | $14 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 12 | $0.917 | $11 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?No | sell | 10.22 | $0.995 | $10.17 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?No | buy | 10.23 | $0.696 | $7.12 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the United Kingdom before July?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July?Yes | buy | 12.73 | $0.550 | $7 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 11.83 | $0.930 | $11 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 21.05 | $0.902 | $18.99 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 15.96 | $0.940 | $15 | Mar 9, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.760 | $16 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Will the US sanction Ukraine before April?Yes | buy | 157.14 | $0.070 | $11 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?No | sell | 47.93 | $0.880 | $42.18 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 47.93 | $0.204 | $9.79 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will 450-500k federal employees accept the buyout?Yes | buy | 728.57 | $0.007 | $5 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Pepe ETF in 2025?No | sell | 15.9 | $0.930 | $14.79 | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 8.35 | $0.880 | $7.35 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Abstract token launch by January 31?No | sell | 6.32 | $0.910 | $5.75 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Abstract token launch by January 31?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jan 4, 2025 |
| Pepe ETF in 2025?No | buy | 15.91 | $0.943 | $15 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 17.2 | $0.986 | $16.96 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024?No | buy | 4.64 | $0.969 | $4.5 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.121 | $3.57 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.925 | $0.93 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?No | buy | 43.11 | $0.075 | $3.24 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.136 | $4 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 17.2 | $0.930 | $16 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.096 | $4 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Victory" three or more times in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Nov 4, 2024 |