Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 21 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 43 daily closes on record from 21 Dec 2024 to 1 Feb 2025, the highest close was 90% on 22 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 90% on 22 Dec 2024. $226.66K traded over the market's life.
94 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 7:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 21 Dec 2024 – 1 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2024 | 49.5% |
| 1 Feb 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 17.05K |
| fishandchips | Yes | 1.52K |
| baby29 | Yes | 576.14 |
| efir | Yes | 370.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token before January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be publicly announced and transferable on a blockchain. If a first such token launch occurs outside of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source will be public announcements from Abstract.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/abstract-token-launch-by-january-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| matt112 | Yes | 240.34 |
| LEPS | Yes | 150 |
| Himess | Yes | 66.38 |
| FredFerkel | Yes | 63.62 |
| io♥ | Yes | 61.81 |
| 18towin | Yes | 50.46 |
