Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4% on 4 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 364 daily closes on record from 4 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 54% on 1 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 54% on 1 Jul 2025. $325.51K traded over the market's life.
195 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 364 points, 4 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2025 | 4.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WhatAmIDoing | Yes | 40K |
| bogdanv | Yes | 4.74K |
| pepe15 | Yes | 3.12K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Pepe (https://etherscan.io/token/0x6982508145454ce325ddbe47a25d4ec3d2311933) ETF receives approval from the SEC by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Approval under Rule 19-4b will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, even if there has not been an S-1 approval. Similarly, an S-1 approval without a 19-4b approval will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pepe-etf-in-2025
| onchaingooner | Yes | 2.31K |
| acal | Yes | 1.11K |
| efeyjnu7892 | Yes | 732.25 |
| Cat | Yes | 726.16 |
| 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | Yes | 641.57 |
| g45g54 | Yes | 599.93 |
| Worthless-Bumper | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
