Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 31 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 92 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 52% on 1 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 14.5% on 15 Jan 2025. $304.29K traded over the market's life.
98 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 1:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 92 points, 31 Dec 2024 – 1 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2024 | 50.0% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xThoreau | Yes | 10K |
| Grumpy-Automaton | Yes | 1K |
| DNADS | Yes | 385.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pump.fun launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between January 1, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Pump.fun team, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/airdrops-in-q1-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 217.39 |
| Himess | Yes | 139.35 |
| endgameratan | Yes | 138.06 |
| rising | Yes | 133.68 |
| Rodriwin | Yes | 120.82 |
| kingushka | Yes | 111.67 |
| halfws | Yes | 111.11 |
