Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91.8%. Yes opened at 55% on 1 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 62 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2025 to 3 Apr 2025, the highest close was 91.8% on 3 Apr 2025 and the lowest 55% on 1 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 74.5% on 2 Feb 2025. $470.58K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 4, 11:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 1 Feb 2025 – 3 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2025 | 55.0% |
| 3 Apr 2025 | 91.8% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on the European Union by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-trump-tariff-in-first-100-days
New to prediction markets?
| No |
| 309.26 |
| Edible-Physiology | No | 227.27 |
| pmfox | No | 173.33 |
| bruhther | No | 110 |
| Alexstate88 | No | 44.43 |
| Hero56 | No | 37.04 |
| Javiermilei | No | 14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
