Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 55% on 1 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 73% on 21 Mar 2025 and the low 0.4% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 34.5% on 10 Aug 2025. $5.92K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 308 points · 1 Mar 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2025 | 55.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 190 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 165 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Casey DeSantis announces that she is running for Governor of Florida in the 2026 Florida Gubernatorial Election, between February 28 ET, and December 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Casey DeSantis will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future. If Casey DeSantis definitively states that she will not run for governor, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Casey DeSantis (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or her official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/casey-desantis-runs-for-florida-governor
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 150 |
| manfi | Yes | 144.14 |
| power1337 | Yes | 122.8 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 90 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 90 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 76 |
| xiaxunza | Yes | 58.42 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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