Gold missing from Fort Knox?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.5M

Resolved

Settled

Mar 11, 2025 UTC

Topic roomOil, gold and commodities

Where it stands

Resolved No on 11 Mar 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 18% on 18 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2025 to 11 Mar 2025, the highest close was 20.5% on 23 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 5% on 9 Mar 2025. $3.52M traded over the market's life.

250 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 12, 1:42 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 18 Feb 2025 – 11 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–25%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bitcoinipie2	Yes	600.77K
Cashkar	Yes	205K
FrankA	Yes	30.82K
Djabooty	Yes	22.76K

10 of 250 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

According to the U.S. Government, Fort Knox holds 147,341,858.38 Troy Ounces of Gold (see: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/gold-report/21-02.html) This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Fort Knox holds less than 147,300,000 troy ounces of gold between February 17, 2025, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If gold is removed from Fort Knox after February 17, 2025, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If an audit confirms that there is no gold missing from Fort Knox, or that it otherwise contains 147,300,000 troy ounces of gold or more, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, including the Department of Government Efficiency.