Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 76.2%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 21 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 89.5% on 26 Feb 2025 and the low 49.5% on 21 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 82% on 22 Feb 2025. $1.53M traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 26, 2:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 21 Feb 2025 – 25 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2025 | 49.5% |
| 25 Mar 2025 | 76.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| flovinskas2 | No | 23K |
| BAP | No | 12.19K |
| sergeevich8 | No | 4K |
| TarasShevchenko | No | 3.85K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States and Ukraine agree to any deal between February 20 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that involves Ukraine agreeing to provide economic compensation to the U.S. for the repayment of aid. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes, but is not limited to, agreements related to the repayment of aid through mineral rights, rights to future profits, licenses, financial commitments, or any other form of economic compensation reported as repayment for aid by a consensus of credible reporting. An announcement of a deal will qualify regardless of if/when the deal is enacted. An agreement for Ukraine to purchase U.S. goods, including military equipment, will not qualify unless it explicitly described as repayment for aid. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-agree-to-payback-us-aid-before-july
| Fartard | No | 2.09K |
| savant443 | No | 1.63K |
| EPunx | No | 1.42K |
| sylverlinx | No | 1.39K |
| jaselby | No | 1.31K |
| deluxe216 | No | 969.32 |
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