Latest trade
Sep 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:00 PM UTC.
Analytics
Bewitched-Merchant is down $305.44 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:00 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 32 markets; 92.0% were buys. They run from Jul 4, 2026 UTC to Sep 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 697.05 | $0.635 | $637.8 | +$194.81 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 18:44 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 12:00 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 12:00 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 18:44 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $454.33 and losing ones cost $19.91 across the latest 50 settled positions. 92% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $97.12 on “Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $6.77 on “Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Sep 2026. It has traded 441 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.25K across 127 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 656.9 |
| $0.836 |
| $627.34 |
| +$78.35 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | No | 210.81 | $0.806 | $178.14 | +$8.13 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | No | 193.56 | $0.687 | $152.91 | +$19.91 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 187.96 | $0.787 | $147.54 | -$0.45 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 122.26 | $0.900 | $111.87 | +$1.87 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 113.45 | $0.908 | $109.42 | +$6.42 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | No | 110.98 | $0.910 | $107.76 | +$6.76 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | No | 101.1 | $0.791 | $85.43 | +$5.43 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 85.85 | $0.897 | $82.89 | +$5.89 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 77.34 | $0.918 | $73.7 | +$2.7 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 72.16 | $0.776 | $58.09 | +$2.09 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 62.91 | $0.652 | $56.61 | +$15.61 |
 Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026? | No | 73.85 | $0.745 | $39.88 | -$15.12 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | No | 102.04 | $0.490 | $37.76 | -$12.24 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 36.25 | $0.745 | $35.2 | +$8.2 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | No | 35.95 | $0.834 | $33.98 | +$3.98 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 33.08 | $0.846 | $26.96 | -$1.04 |
 Obama divorce before 2027? | No | 26.03 | $0.922 | $25.04 | +$1.04 |
| Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? | No | 26.45 | $0.794 | $24.6 | +$3.6 |
| Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027? | No | 24.56 | $0.855 | $23.49 | +$2.49 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | No | 27.44 | $0.364 | $23.12 | +$13.12 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 21.91 | $0.913 | $21.19 | +$1.19 |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | No | 22.64 | $0.839 | $19.98 | +$0.98 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 24.84 | $0.403 | $19.75 | +$9.75 |
Trump renames AI by September 30?No| buy |
| 42.86 |
| $0.700 |
| $30 |
| Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
 Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 in September?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in September?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $224 in September?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 35.74 | $0.850 | $30.38 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AugustNothing | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
 Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.720 | $30 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No | buy | 36.91 | $0.813 | $30 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No | sell | 120.38 | $0.892 | $107.38 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No | buy | 37.97 | $0.790 | $30 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 32.35 | $0.340 | $11 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 13.58 | $0.736 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 56.18 | $0.890 | $50 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 327.28 | $0.518 | $169.68 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 11.64 | $0.859 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 13.48 | $0.742 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Another Elon baby by December 31?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.480 | $13.92 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 14.07 | $0.711 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 61.54 | $0.650 | $40 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 12.02 | $0.832 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 44.25 | $0.904 | $40 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 59.76 | $0.837 | $50 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.