Analytics
Yes is at 11.1%, down 31 points from 42% when the market opened on 1 Jul 2026.
Across the 115 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54% on 4 Sep 2026 and the lowest 3% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10.8%; a month before, 13.8%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 8.5% on 6 Sep 2026.
$1.08K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $130.47, with a 15.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 56 trades, $20.93 bought Yes and $360.96 bought No.
The largest Yes position is meagainsttheworld with 45 shares; the largest No position is Scientific-Chair with 45. Ten wallets hold 84.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 115 points, 1 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 42.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 10.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| meagainsttheworld | Yes | 44.86 |
| Scientific-Chair | No | 44.78 |
| vinii | No | 39.45 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count. The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-elon-baby-by-december-31-20260630143148786
| grauito |
| No |
| 36.88 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 21.7 |
| dropmeplease | Yes | 20 |
| negativePNL | Yes | 16.28 |
| sidequest1 | Yes | 14.71 |
| Bewitched-Merchant | No | 11.63 |
| pppnn | No | 7.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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