Analytics
Yes is at 47%, about where the market opened on 10 Feb 2026.
Across the 225 daily closes on record from 10 Feb 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (37 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 81% on 27 Mar 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 5 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 46.5%; a month before, 38%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 13.5% on 5 Jul 2026.
$38.3K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $40.1, with a 76.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 136 trades, $15.16 bought Yes and $1.91K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 49 shares; the largest No position is Bewitched-Merchant with 74.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 225 points, 10 Feb 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | 47.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 48.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bewitched-Merchant | No | 73.85 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 49.22 |
| Bsau4 | Yes | 18.54 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ángela Aguilar and/or Christian Nodal announce their intention to legally separate or divorce between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET of their intention to separate or divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the separation or divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual separation or divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Ángela Aguilar, Christian Nodal, and/or their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ngela-aguilar-christian-nodal-split-in-2026
| 48xsds |
| Yes |
| 4.81 |
| litigation | Yes | 3.22 |
| PPMT | Yes | 1.44 |
| AsleepDetail | Yes | 1.08 |
| Aujkiol | No | 1.08 |
| Astonishing-Armpit | No | 1.08 |
| romanew-7-spread05 | No | 1.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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