Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election? | Yes | 22 | $0.100 | $14.23 | +$12.03 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Charizard ex Price Over/Under $372.18 on August 31?Under | sell | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | 26d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 22 |
| $0.180 |
| $9.79 |
| +$5.83 |
 Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30? | Yes | 22 | $0.120 | $7.7 | +$5.06 |
 Tom Kean Jr.out as US Rep before term ends? | Yes | 21.99 | $0.140 | $6.6 | +$3.52 |
 Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers? | No | 22 | $0.190 | $3.74 | -$0.44 |
 Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026? | Yes | 22 | $0.190 | $3.52 | -$0.66 |
 Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.120 | $3.4 | +$1 |
 Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? | No | 2.25 | $0.110 | $2.06 | +$1.81 |
 Will Spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $2 | -$3 |
 Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | No | 22 | $0.040 | $1.99 | +$1.11 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22 | $0.060 | $1.54 | +$0.22 |
 Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31? | Yes | 13.99 | $0.120 | $1.54 | -$0.14 |
 Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026? | Yes | 3.22 | $0.250 | $1.51 | +$0.71 |
 Kim Kardashian announces passing the Bar Exam by 2027? | Yes | 22 | $0.070 | $1.43 | -$0.11 |
 Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | Yes | 22 | $0.050 | $1.32 | +$0.22 |
| First Round Outright Winner in the GA-12 House Election? | No | 22 | $0.140 | $1.21 | -$1.87 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? | Yes | 21.99 | $0.090 | $1.07 | -$0.91 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 1.18 | $0.150 | $1.02 | +$0.84 |
 Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass? | Yes | 1.02 | $0.020 | $1.01 | +$0.99 |
 Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026? | Yes | 22 | $0.150 | $0.99 | -$2.31 |
 Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.040 | $0.97 | +$0.89 |
 Renan Santos participates in debate before first round? | No | 22 | $0.120 | $0.77 | -$1.87 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31? | Yes | 22 | $0.080 | $0.77 | -$0.99 |
| First Round Outright Winner in the GA-11 House Election? | No | 2 | $0.100 | $0.73 | +$0.53 |
 Trump on $250 bill this year? | Yes | 22 | $0.150 | $0.69 | -$2.61 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.550 |
| $2.75 |
| 26d ago |
| Charizard ex Price Over/Under $372.18 on August 31?Under | sell | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 26d ago |
| Charizard ex Price Over/Under $372.18 on August 31?Under | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | 26d ago |
| First Round Outright Winner in the GA-11 House Election?No | sell | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | 26d ago |
| Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?Yes | sell | 10.13 | $0.250 | $2.53 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.060 | $1.32 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.090 | $1.98 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)Labour | sell | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second DayDown | sell | 22 | $0.480 | $10.56 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Joe Rogan joins 60 Minutes by June 30?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.120 | $2.64 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Trump on $250 bill this year?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.150 | $3.3 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.090 | $1.98 | May 9, 2026 |
 US bank failure by May 31?Yes | sell | 15.05 | $0.120 | $1.81 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?Yes | sell | 21.51 | $0.100 | $2.15 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.034 | $1.68 | May 3, 2026 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Yes | sell | 21.15 | $0.070 | $1.48 | May 3, 2026 |
 Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.060 | $1.32 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No | sell | 10.51 | $0.320 | $3.36 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No | sell | 11.41 | $0.320 | $3.65 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.080 | $1.76 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Yes | sell | 2.09 | $0.190 | $0.4 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?Yes | sell | 21.33 | $0.040 | $0.85 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?No | sell | 9 | $0.760 | $6.84 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?No | sell | 12.08 | $0.760 | $9.18 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?Down | sell | 17.04 | $0.070 | $1.19 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?Yes | sell | 5.85 | $0.100 | $0.59 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?Yes | sell | 21.93 | $0.080 | $1.75 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?Yes | sell | 3.79 | $0.250 | $0.95 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.050 | $1.1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.100 | $1.2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Clavicular sentenced to prison?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.160 | $3.08 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?Yes | sell | 22.2 | $0.230 | $5.11 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Joe Kent charged by April 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.060 | $0.9 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.080 | $1.76 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.170 | $0.18 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?Yes | sell | 3.09 | $0.040 | $0.12 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Svitle by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.32 | $0.100 | $0.33 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Yes | sell | 1.18 | $0.170 | $0.2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.110 | $0.13 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.050 | $0.06 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.040 | $0.09 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?Yes | sell | 11.1 | $0.023 | $0.26 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?Yes | sell | 11.1 | $0.051 | $0.57 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 McDonald's CEO out by June 30?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.070 | $0.84 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 TJR mentee Timmeh earns prop payout in 30 days?No | sell | 8 | $0.180 | $1.44 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.480 | $2.88 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.05 | $0.190 | $2.1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?No | sell | 4.21 | $0.024 | $0.1 | Mar 2, 2026 |