Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trudeau resigns by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.218 | $231.33 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 268.72 |
| $0.570 |
| $153.17 |
| Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will the Conservatives win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 697.6 | $0.358 | $250 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes | sell | 2.2K | $0.183 | $403.17 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.132 | $291 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?Yes | buy | 296.32 | $0.746 | $221.14 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes | sell | 668.08 | $0.331 | $221.13 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes | buy | 668.08 | $0.531 | $354.5 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Walz | sell | 1.29K | $0.275 | $354.5 | Oct 4, 2024 |
| Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Walz | buy | 1.29K | $0.280 | $360.86 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Who will speak more at VP Debate?Vance | buy | 322.73 | $0.620 | $200.09 | Sep 27, 2024 |
 Longshoremen east coast strike by Oct 1?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.139 | $190 | Sep 26, 2024 |
| Longshoremen east coast strike by Oct 1?No | buy | 726.67 | $0.455 | $330.65 | Sep 22, 2024 |
 Will Brazil unban X before October?Yes | sell | 263.88 | $0.530 | $139.86 | Sep 22, 2024 |
 Trump flips Kamala on 538 before October?Yes | sell | 85.3 | $0.012 | $1.02 | Sep 22, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?Yes | sell | 232.55 | $0.440 | $102.32 | Sep 22, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his North Carolina rally?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.050 | $200 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his North Carolina rally?Yes | buy | 425.9 | $0.470 | $200 | Sep 20, 2024 |
 Kamala positive favorability by Friday?Yes | sell | 178.91 | $0.943 | $168.73 | Sep 20, 2024 |
| Kamala positive favorability by Friday?Yes | buy | 178.92 | $0.559 | $100 | Sep 20, 2024 |
 Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?Yes | sell | 666.66 | $0.015 | $10 | Sep 20, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "joy" during Oprah livestream?Yes | buy | 303.18 | $0.330 | $100 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Yes | buy | 360.86 | $0.277 | $100 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?Yes | buy | 390.09 | $0.513 | $200 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Canada federal election in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.58K | $0.140 | $220.48 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Canada federal election in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.58K | $0.148 | $234 | Sep 18, 2024 |
 Trump affair with Laura Loomer?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.025 | $50 | Sep 14, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.340 | $200 | Sep 14, 2024 |
 2024 September hottest on record?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.060 | $200 | Sep 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "moderator" during his Nevada rally?Yes | buy | 684 | $0.220 | $150.48 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?Yes | sell | 283.94 | $0.530 | $150.49 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?Yes | buy | 273.58 | $0.570 | $155.94 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "fraud" at debate?Yes | buy | 392.16 | $0.510 | $200 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| August temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24°C?Yes | buy | 757.97 | $0.152 | $115.53 | Sep 2, 2024 |
| Will Brazil unban X before October?Yes | buy | 263.89 | $0.379 | $100 | Sep 2, 2024 |
| Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?Yes | buy | 232.56 | $0.430 | $100 | Sep 2, 2024 |
| Kamala positive favorability by Friday?Yes | buy | 142.27 | $0.703 | $100 | Sep 2, 2024 |
 Kamala flips Trump on Silver's Bulletin by Sept 6?No | sell | 323.33 | $0.760 | $245.73 | Aug 31, 2024 |
 Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?No | buy | 291 | $0.300 | $87.2 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Kamala flips Trump on Silver's Bulletin by Sept 6?No | buy | 323.33 | $0.309 | $100 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?Trump | buy | 344.11 | $0.291 | $100 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Trump flips Kamala on 538 before October?Yes | buy | 85.3 | $0.200 | $17.06 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Will J.D. Vance say "Comrade Kamala" during Michigan rally?Yes | buy | 302.37 | $0.331 | $100 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?Yes | buy | 283.94 | $0.352 | $100 | Aug 26, 2024 |
 Annual inflation above 2.5% in August?Yes | buy | 12.98 | $0.560 | $7.27 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will Biden's 538 approval reach 40% in August?Yes | buy | 169.8 | $0.589 | $100 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will Lando Norris win the Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Maduro out in 2024?Yes | buy | 216.92 | $0.260 | $56.4 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Ceasefire" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.440 | $100 | Aug 18, 2024 |