Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.1% on 14 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 14 Sep 2024 to 21 Sep 2024, the highest close was 3.1% on 14 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Sep 2024. $487.28K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 22, 6:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 14 Sep 2024 – 21 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Sep 2024 | 3.1% |
| 21 Sep 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Foxhole47 | Yes | 1.37K |
| Arvini | Yes | 1K |
| Eriksua1702 | Yes | 481.16 |
| Noxox | Yes | 272.73 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence is made public by September 20, 11:59 PM ET, that Donald Trump and Laura Loomer engaged in sexual relations. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Confirmation from either Trump or Loomer will qualify as "definitive evidence". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-affair-with-laura-loomer
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| lethalcheese | Yes | 111.11 |
| aerlyon | Yes | 80 |
| WaffleMayo | Yes | 53.85 |
| Bektasch | No | 2.04 |
| spasxe | Yes | 0.83 |
| stray21 | Yes | 0.77 |
