Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+Yes | buy | 85.71 | $0.028 | $2.4 | Nov 3, 2024 |
|
| buy |
| 285.71 |
| $0.070 |
| $20 |
| Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 50 | $0.448 | $22.4 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Texas be the closest state?Yes | buy | 59.07 | $0.014 | $0.8 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?Yes | buy | 120.29 | $0.042 | $5 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?Yes | buy | 341.31 | $0.044 | $15 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%?Yes | buy | 233.44 | $0.064 | $15 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104Yes | buy | 492.44 | $0.102 | $50 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will Trump win 2 swing states?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 275.48 | $0.363 | $100 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.022 | $5 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104Yes | buy | 470.59 | $0.085 | $40 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 3 swing states?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.110 | $50 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 266.01 | $0.376 | $100 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 38.89 | $0.540 | $21 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.060 | $8 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0.5%-1%?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.180 | $50 | Sep 27, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 47.06 | $0.170 | $8 | Sep 25, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 38.89 | $0.180 | $7 | Sep 25, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104Yes | buy | 88.76 | $0.169 | $15 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+Yes | buy | 82.5 | $0.061 | $5 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 57.69 | $0.520 | $30 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.058 | $0.5 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 Trump affair with Laura Loomer?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.025 | $2 | Sep 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Springfield" during his Nevada rally?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.065 | $1 | Sep 14, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Nevada rally?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Sep 14, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 13.6 | $0.330 | $4.49 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 46.18 | $0.498 | $23 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104Yes | buy | 98.68 | $0.152 | $15 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "weird" during her North Carolina rally?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "border" 5 or more times during her North Carolina rally?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "JD Vance" during her North Carolina rally?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "weird" during her North Carolina rally?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "liar" during her North Carolina rally?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "convicted felon" during her North Carolina rally?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "McDonald's" during her North Carolina rally?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64Yes | buy | 250 | $0.120 | $30 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Yes | buy | 404.82 | $0.049 | $20 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104Yes | buy | 267.95 | $0.187 | $50 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.110 | $0.4 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 39.8 | $0.490 | $19.5 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Yes | buy | 624.94 | $0.048 | $30 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104Yes | buy | 268.84 | $0.186 | $50 | Sep 11, 2024 |