Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 51% on 9 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 244 daily closes on record from 9 Mar 2024 to 7 Nov 2024, the highest close was 67.5% on 25 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 61 points down, to 0.1% on 7 Nov 2024. $10.4M traded over the market's life.
536 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 8, 7:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 244 points, 9 Mar 2024 – 7 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Mar 2024 | 51.0% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.64M |
| FrazzledPeach | Yes | 276.31K |
| ZHY1948 | Yes | 211.66K |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the presidential election in Michigan.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/michigan-presidential-election-winner
| Fare | Yes | 35.18K |
| futurific | Yes | 29.4K |
| cryptointerested | Yes | 26.07K |
| MilfLover | Yes | 25.06K |
| RoPepe | Yes | 19.62K |
| LeftofCenter | Yes | 17.4K |
| Panoramic | Yes | 16.09K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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