Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 11% on 17 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2024 to 21 Dec 2024, the highest close was 11% on 17 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 21 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.1 points down, to 2.4% on 19 Dec 2024. $523.31K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 22, 7:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Dec 2024 – 21 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2024 | 11.0% |
| 21 Dec 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| heuer | Yes | 2.96K |
| AsianCaucasian87 | Yes | 1.62K |
| perevi | No | 1.25K |
| Moros | Yes | 1.06K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning as Prime Minister of Canada or otherwise ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time between December 15, 2024 and December 20, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning but remains in office to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Justin Trudeau or the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trudeau-resigns-by-friday
New to prediction markets?
| Gardnerjens | Yes | 890.1 |
| johngardiner | Yes | 471 |
| SmallFringeMajority | Yes | 333.33 |
| TheFoodieRudz | Yes | 332.16 |
| JonnyWuhanny | Yes | 307.48 |
| JoshLeung | Yes | 300 |
