Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50.5%. Yes opened at 52% on 4 Sep 2024. Before it settled, the high was 59% on 10 Sep 2024 and the low 36.5% on 6 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 59% on 10 Sep 2024. $73.73K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 12, 3:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 4 Sep 2024 – 11 Sep 2024 · axis zoomed to 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2024 | 52.0% |
| 11 Sep 2024 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gengar.hex | Yes | 100 |
| DJD22 | No | 94.88 |
| Lalapupu88 | Yes | 58.82 |
| JDawg42 | Yes | 10 |
| DefiDigs | No | 10 |
| ChickenHearts | Yes | 9.8 |
| mhamer87 | No | 9.26 |
| sadgods | Yes | 1.96 |
| Cole123 | Yes | 1 |
| Ardaleon | No | 0.08 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are currently scheduled to debate on September 10 in an event hosted by ABC News. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "fraud" at any point during the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "fraud" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to wrongful or criminal deception intended to result in financial or personal gain. If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the debate.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-at-the-debate
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