Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 1 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 336 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 29.5% on 10 Feb 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 17% on 5 Sep 2024. $1.86M traded over the market's life.
526 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 5:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 336 points, 1 Feb 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2024 | 19.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PolyBlitz2024 | Yes | 19.81K |
| Telonic | Yes | 5.44K |
| ceriseangel | Yes | 927.4 |
The 45th Canadian federal election is scheduled to take place on October 20, 2025, however federal elections have been called early numerous times in Canada's history, most recently in 2021. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 45th Canadian federal election is scheduled to be held in 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/canada-federal-election-in-2024
| FlavourSavor | Yes | 644.88 |
| CaffeineHighZombie | Yes | 483.64 |
| St-Qc | Yes | 193.39 |
| ppsp | Yes | 176.12 |
| SkyEtch | Yes | 99.99 |
| Marecki69 | Yes | 71.43 |
| ER03PT | Yes | 70.42 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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