Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 24% on 22 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 22 Aug 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 71% on 26 Sep 2024 and the lowest 1.5% on 2 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 34% on 28 Sep 2024. $462.4K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 8:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 22 Aug 2024 – 5 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2024 | 24.0% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 1.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kamala-is-brat | Yes | 399.28 |
| k-cool | Yes | 357.93 |
| 432 | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris announces that she publicly supports a tax on unrealized gains by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will only resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris explicitly states her support of having a tax on unrealized gains. If the proposed tax is only for certain individuals (i.e. high net worth individuals), this market will still resolve to "Yes." If Harris broadly states she agrees with Biden's policy proposals, and one of Biden's policy proposals is to tax unrealized gains, it will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - she must explicitly support the specific proposal. This market will only resolve based on official announcements by Kamala Harris and/or her representatives. These announcements must occur after this market's creation date (August 20).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kamala-publicly-support-tax-on-unrealized-gains
| Yes |
| 18.52 |
| Zbynek | Yes | 18.18 |
| BedHead | No | 10 |
| Royroyroy | Yes | 6.45 |
| edddd | Yes | 4.55 |
| mkjh | Yes | 4.26 |
| nhgv | Yes | 4.17 |
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