Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.9%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 14 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2024 to 10 Sep 2024, the highest close was 34.5% on 14 Aug 2024 and the lowest 2.1% on 6 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 29% on 27 Aug 2024. $386.23K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 11, 6:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 14 Aug 2024 – 10 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2024 | 34.5% |
| 10 Sep 2024 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 310.33K |
| DiBiase | Yes | 498.56 |
| Hussieny | Yes | 200 |
| x1000anon | Yes | 145.4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/august-2024-temperature-increase-c
| Lyapunov | Yes | 50 |
| MonkE | Yes | 0.1 |
| Pinguin | No | 0.04 |
| Cobalt Harbor 0E10 | Yes | 0.04 |
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