Analytics
Resolved Vance on 9 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Vance at 99.1%. The Walz side opened at 80.5% on 26 Sep 2024. Before it settled, the high was 80.5% on 26 Sep 2024 and the low 0.9% on 9 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 32% on 3 Oct 2024. $2.06M traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 10, 6:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Walz price, Polymarket CLOB · 14 points · 26 Sep 2024 – 9 Oct 2024
| Observed | Walz price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2024 | 80.5% |
| 9 Oct 2024 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Tim Walz and JD Vance are scheduled to participate in a debate hosted by CBS on October 1, 2024. This market will resolve to "Walz" if the first relevant opinion poll released by Ipsos after the debate indicates Tim Walz won this debate against JD Vance. This market will resolve to "Vance" if the first relevant opinion poll released by Ipsos after the debate indicates JD Vance won. If the results are tied, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve to whichever candidate has a higher percentage than the other for the question regarding who performed better in the debate, or who won the debate. Other portions of the poll will not be considered for this market. If this debate is cancelled, otherwise rescheduled, or does not take place by October 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the results of Ipsos first opinion poll over who won or performed better in the debate released after its conclusion. If Ipsos does not release a poll within a week of the debate (currently October 8, 11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve based on polling on the debate from Yougov. If Yougov also hasn't released a relevant poll within a week of the debate this market will resolve to "50-50".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-the-vp-debate-according-to-polls
| bidenfan69 | Walz | 2.08K |
| Schrute | Walz | 1.03K |
| 0xfatfarmer | Walz | 1K |
| Paltry-Innocence | Walz | 775 |
| fondu | Walz | 768.56 |
| dafranch | Walz | 322.45 |
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