Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 2 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2024 to 16 Oct 2024, the highest close was 72.5% on 7 Oct 2024 and the lowest 6.5% on 15 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 38.5% on 4 Oct 2024. $99.59K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 17, 9:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 2 Oct 2024 – 16 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2024 | 50.5% |
| 16 Oct 2024 | 7.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Bint Jbeil in Lebanon for military operations between September 29 and October 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Bint Jbeil will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-israeli-troops-enter-bint-jbeil-by-october-15
| LGSG56 | Yes | 96.78 |
| DFW59FD | Yes | 96.18 |
| DGFDF55 | Yes | 95.27 |
| WSEFW58F | Yes | 94.21 |
| Thorough-Counseling | Yes | 93.27 |
| TRH5R6TH | Yes | 90.96 |
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