
Resolved Yes on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 83%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 90.5% on 30 Sep 2024 and the lowest 50% on 20 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 78.5% on 25 Sep 2024. $54.6K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 3:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 20 Sep 2024 – 1 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2024 | 50.0% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 83.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mikemike3 | No | 3.82K |
| honyan | No | 10 |
| sam663 | Yes | 1.12 |
| Crafty-Fatherinlaw | No | 0.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) or its leadership declares or announces a strike affecting any US East Coast or Gulf Coast port by 11:59 PM ET on October 1, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be official announcements from the ILA however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/longshoremens-east-coast-port-strike
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| TYjujlre | Yes | 0.05 |
| Salomon-Brothers | Yes | 0.02 |
| aaacz | Yes | 0.02 |
| Sandy-Journalist | Yes | 0.01 |
| CryptoBecu | Yes | 0.01 |