Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 45.5%. Yes opened at 36% on 4 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2024 to 11 Sep 2024, the highest close was 65% on 5 Sep 2024 and the lowest 36% on 4 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 65% on 5 Sep 2024. $269.82K traded over the market's life.
114 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 12, 5:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 4 Sep 2024 – 11 Sep 2024, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2024 | 36.0% |
| 11 Sep 2024 | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DanielWifi | Yes | 10K |
| SirYield | Yes | 1.52K |
| Godspeed | Yes | 756.35 |
| nyax. | Yes | 714.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are currently scheduled to debate on September 10 in an event hosted by ABC News. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "convicted felon" at any point during the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the debate.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kamala-say-at-the-debate
| Worldly-Miter | Yes | 517.24 |
| TommyHerrera | Yes | 428.57 |
| drater | Yes | 332.03 |
| Zolla | Yes | 267.86 |
| Frilly-Buying | Yes | 258.53 |
| PSB-923 | Yes | 213.33 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
