Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 10.55 | $0.948 | $10.41 | +$0.41 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 16?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.992 |
| $1 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 10.55 | $0.948 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.967 | $2 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Macron out by October 31, 2025?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.969 | $1.37 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by August 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 13.25 | $0.951 | $12.6 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison buy TikTok before July?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.914 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?No | buy | 10.65 | $0.998 | $10.63 | May 25, 2025 |
 All New Orleans escapees captured in May?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.940 | $1.1 | May 25, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MayYes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Gold missing from Fort Knox?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before May?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 10.86 | $0.967 | $10.5 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.830 | $1.1 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.910 | $1.2 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by January 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?No | buy | 0.79 | $0.890 | $0.7 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 OpenSea token announcement in 2024?No | buy | 0.86 | $0.697 | $0.6 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?No | buy | 0.93 | $0.540 | $0.5 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.995 | $3.3 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Hailey Welch jail in 2024?No | buy | 0.94 | $0.954 | $0.9 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.985 | $1.5 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 400-424 times November 1-8?Yes | sell | 35.75 | $0.070 | $2.5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?No | buy | 0.56 | $0.890 | $0.5 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Ethereum dips below $2,000 by Sept 30?No | buy | 0.26 | $0.760 | $0.2 | Sep 12, 2024 |