Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 13 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 113 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 4 Mar 2026, the highest close was 91% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 29% on 26 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 84% on 3 Mar 2026. $3.53M traded over the market's life.
276 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 113 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 4 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 39.5% |
| 4 Mar 2026 | 91.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 487.85K |
| wan123 | No | 149.86K |
| surf | No | 107.12K |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/texas-democratic-senate-primary-winner
| No |
| 21.12K |
| toytrucks | No | 20.64K |
| VorpalQuark | No | 9.6K |
| Red-Lambkin | No | 7.06K |
| Avarice31 | No | 5.84K |
| Xmagrx | No | 5.01K |
| elockt | No | 4K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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