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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 71.61K | $0.996 | $71.32K | Mar 1, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 87.74K |
| $0.994 |
| $87.21K |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?No | buy | 171.81 | $0.700 | $120.27 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.698 | $697.68 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei seen in public by March 3?No | buy | 429.8 | $0.980 | $421.2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei seen in public by March 4?No | buy | 18 | $0.980 | $17.64 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei seen in public by March 3?No | buy | 329 | $0.978 | $321.9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 37.6K | $0.959 | $36.04K | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 29.76K | $0.959 | $28.56K | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 41.85K | $0.947 | $39.63K | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 46.76K | $0.936 | $43.78K | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 120.58 | $0.890 | $107.32 | Feb 28, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 23?Up | buy | 3.03K | $0.013 | $39.39 | Feb 23, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.82K | $0.170 | $16.29K | Feb 21, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 882.57 | $0.014 | $12.36 | Feb 20, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.92K | $0.070 | $2.72K | Feb 20, 2026 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 1.74K | $0.936 | $1.63K | Feb 20, 2026 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 4.5K | $0.802 | $3.61K | Feb 20, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.95K | $0.260 | $1.29K | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.51K | $0.266 | $16.36K | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.03K | $0.130 | $2.73K | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.27K | $0.095 | $2.58K | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 86.99K | $0.047 | $4.09K | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?No | buy | 20.64K | $0.239 | $4.93K | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.64K | $0.100 | $564.38 | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.33K | $0.046 | $1.4K | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 84.67 | $0.110 | $9.31 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 38.71 | $0.963 | $37.28 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 51K | $0.963 | $49.12K | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.56K | $0.048 | $4.05K | Feb 17, 2026 |
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?Yes | buy | 2.26K | $0.020 | $45.28 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Team World vs. Team USA StarsTeam USA Stars | buy | 615.8 | $0.380 | $234 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Team World vs. Team USA StarsTeam USA Stars | buy | 2.3K | $0.370 | $850.29 | Feb 15, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13?Up | sell | 315.66 | $0.400 | $126.26 | Feb 13, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13?Up | sell | 875.54 | $0.168 | $146.93 | Feb 13, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13?Down | buy | 167.64 | $0.708 | $118.69 | Feb 13, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13?Down | buy | 671.62 | $0.812 | $545.61 | Feb 13, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13?Up | buy | 10K | $0.300 | $3K | Feb 13, 2026 |
Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 15.52K | $0.860 | $13.34K | Feb 13, 2026 |
Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 10.38K | $0.129 | $1.34K | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 10.96K | $0.993 | $10.88K | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 45K | $0.993 | $44.68K | Jan 31, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 45K | $0.997 | $44.87K | Jan 31, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.700 | $799.4 | Jan 28, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 6.24K | $0.650 | $4.06K | Jan 28, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 5.45K | $0.630 | $3.43K | Jan 28, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 195.39 | $0.630 | $123.1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.999 | $9.99K | Jan 28, 2026 |