Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 23 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 45.5% on 24 Jan 2025 and the low 0.4% on 30 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 15% on 5 Apr 2025. $441.49K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 160 points · 23 Jan 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2025 | 25.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| heuer | Yes | 1.63K |
| Sillywilly | Yes | 1.24K |
| ninjagolover | Yes | 871.05 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Larry Ellison , either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Larry Ellison ; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Larry Ellison and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-acquire-tiktok
| Yes |
| 573.94 |
| Seanduoxi-2 | Yes | 83.33 |
| thirdwest | No | 80 |
| Devilschoice | Yes | 75 |
| Misty Horizon 8E0E | No | 74.6 |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 63.49 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 58.08 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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