Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.210 | $209.93 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.5K |
| $0.168 |
| $252.64 |
| Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.249 | $249.25 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.93K | $0.240 | $463.58 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.403 | $201.46 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut military spending?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.250 | $250 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.82K | $0.230 | $418.04 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 276 | $0.350 | $96.6 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 80.53 | $0.447 | $35.99 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before May?No | buy | 152.1 | $0.617 | $93.8 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.971 | $485.5 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.96K | $0.250 | $740.19 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 2.04K | $0.850 | $1.73K | Feb 17, 2025 |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 550.21 | $0.234 | $128.55 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.486 | $242.84 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.029 | $20.3 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.003 | $6 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.210 | $63 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump cut military spending?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.410 | $328 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.120 | $120 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump cut military spending?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.500 | $249.92 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.110 | $55 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will Stade Brestois advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.006 | $8.19 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?No | sell | 46.87 | $0.680 | $31.87 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 1.91K | $0.007 | $13.21 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.010 | $95.31 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.310 | $124 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 The "Saquon Special" ParlayYes | buy | 300 | $0.130 | $39 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be orange?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by February 28, 2025?No | sell | 2K | $0.870 | $1.74K | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?No | sell | 75.85 | $0.971 | $73.64 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.470 | $470 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?Yes | sell | 544.1 | $0.122 | $66.54 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.973 | $194.6 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.520 | $104 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will Bayern Munich advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 151 | $0.110 | $16.61 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Stade Brestois advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.15K | $0.197 | $423.12 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 2K | $0.660 | $1.32K | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.011 | $55 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.749 | $898.84 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 DeepSeek banned in US before April?No | buy | 448.73 | $0.894 | $401.36 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.458 | $137.4 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Bills vs. ChiefsBills | buy | 200 | $0.350 | $70 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Commanders vs. EaglesCommanders | buy | 1K | $0.120 | $120 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.099 | $79.2 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Obama divorce in 2025?No | buy | 300 | $0.840 | $252 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Obama divorce in 2025?No | buy | 7.26 | $0.830 | $6.03 | Jan 26, 2025 |