Latest trade
May 11, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 9:35 PM UTC.
Analytics
thirdwest is down $6.47K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 30 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-04-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 11, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 9:35 PM UTC.
$102.27 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 24 markets; 88.0% were buys. They run from Feb 9, 2025 UTC to May 11, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 246.99 | $0.170 | $41.99 | May 11, 2025 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-04-01 07:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 21:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 21:35 UTC
polymarket positions
31 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-04-01 07:30 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.67K and losing ones cost $1.85K across 30 settled positions. 36.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $420 on “Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by February 28, 2025?” (No); the largest loss, $310 on “Commanders vs. Eagles” (Commanders).
Its most recent trade on record was on 11 May 2025. It has traded 46 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.170 |
| $6.8 |
| May 10, 2025 UTC |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.170 | $0.41 | May 10, 2025 UTC |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.170 | $290.8 | May 10, 2025 UTC |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.230 | $459.55 | Mar 23, 2025 UTC |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.95 | $0.230 | $0.45 | Mar 23, 2025 UTC |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 68.42 | $0.240 | $16.42 | Mar 23, 2025 UTC |
 Bitcoin all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.210 | $209.93 | Mar 5, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 156.44 | $0.230 | $35.98 | Feb 25, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.230 | $5.97 | Feb 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top Champions League scorer?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.168 | $252.64 | Feb 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.249 | $249.25 | Feb 25, 2025 UTC |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.93K | $0.240 | $463.58 | Feb 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.403 | $201.46 | Feb 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump cut military spending?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.250 | $250 | Feb 25, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.82K | $0.230 | $418.04 | Feb 25, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 724 | $0.350 | $253.4 | Feb 23, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 276 | $0.350 | $96.6 | Feb 23, 2025 UTC |
 DeepSeek R2 released before May?No | buy | 0.9 | $0.620 | $0.56 | Feb 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 419.47 | $0.450 | $188.76 | Feb 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 80.53 | $0.447 | $35.99 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| DeepSeek R2 released before May?No | buy | 343 | $0.620 | $212.66 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| DeepSeek R2 released before May?No | buy | 4 | $0.620 | $2.48 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| DeepSeek R2 released before May?No | buy | 152.1 | $0.617 | $93.8 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.971 | $485.5 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.96K | $0.250 | $740.19 | Feb 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 961.01 | $0.850 | $816.86 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 449.79 | $0.240 | $107.95 | Feb 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 2.04K | $0.850 | $1.73K | Feb 17, 2025 UTC |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 550.21 | $0.234 | $128.55 | Feb 17, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.486 | $242.84 | Feb 17, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.029 | $20.3 | Feb 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.003 | $6 | Feb 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.210 | $63 | Feb 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump cut military spending?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.410 | $328 | Feb 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.120 | $120 | Feb 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump cut military spending?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.500 | $249.92 | Feb 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.110 | $55 | Feb 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Stade Brestois advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.006 | $8.19 | Feb 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?No | sell | 253.13 | $0.680 | $172.13 | Feb 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?No | sell | 46.87 | $0.680 | $31.87 | Feb 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 1.91K | $0.007 | $13.21 | Feb 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.010 | $95.31 | Feb 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.310 | $124 | Feb 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | Feb 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?No | sell | 29.09 | $0.970 | $28.22 | Feb 9, 2025 UTC |
 The "Saquon Special" ParlayYes | buy | 300 | $0.130 | $39 | Feb 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be orange?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Feb 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by February 28, 2025?No | sell | 2K | $0.870 | $1.74K | Feb 9, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.