Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 8 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 360 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 19.5% on 20 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Dec 2025. $5.47M traded over the market's life.
556 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 360 points, 8 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2025 | 9.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nisok | Yes | 80.5K |
| 0xmetaclass | Yes | 43.48K |
| MataGu | Yes | 43.3K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark , however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-in-2025
| MelonTusk | Yes | 33.29K |
| ololololololololo | Yes | 25.44K |
| SolarFlar3 | Yes | 20K |
| sjsurfer | Yes | 11.83K |
| ChinaGamblingKing | Yes | 9.86K |
| Tomacks | Yes | 7.41K |
| MAGABetter | Yes | 7.04K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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