Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 15 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 77 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 20.5% on 22 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 15% on 23 Jan 2025. $1.47M traded over the market's life.
325 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 5:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 15 Jan 2025 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2025 | 6.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TomD190 | Yes | 29.48K |
| profilesetting | Yes | 10K |
| someone2026 | Yes | 9.97K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-buy-tiktok
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 8.09K |
| Teetok81 | Yes | 7.33K |
| Mr.Bullish | Yes | 1.72K |
| AussieRaver | Yes | 1.68K |
| s1eepy | Yes | 1.31K |
| mr.fine | Yes | 1.14K |
| Indigo Harbor 275B | Yes | 1.13K |
