Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 26 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 26 Apr 2025 to 1 Jun 2025, the highest close was 99.7% on 1 Jun 2025 and the lowest 43.5% on 26 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 76.5% on 3 May 2025. $275.78K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 26 Apr 2025 – 1 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2025 | 43.5% |
| 1 Jun 2025 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rdunjgiofnuei | No | 3.8K |
| mmmmmmm..... | No | 1.02K |
| cowmane | No | 692.86 |
| scripologic | No | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: -Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire -The next Pope is Black -The Fed cuts rates -India invades Pakistan -Israel or US military action against Iran Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+May+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+May+2.png
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-may
| DonNico | No | 139.69 |
| JCosmo | No | 95.24 |
| baka | No | 64.22 |
| Capax | No | 60.24 |
| maximk2 | No | 51.72 |
| offONE | No | 45.45 |
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