Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 33.03 | $0.030 | $0.99 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 198 |
| $0.058 |
| $11.48 |
| Jul 16, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.220 | $308 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 4.93K | $0.080 | $394.56 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 580 | $0.080 | $46.4 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.300 | $180 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.300 | $150 | May 25, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.200 | $800 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | May 21, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before June?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.090 | $171 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.630 | $315 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | May 17, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | May 15, 2025 |
 Trump approval >40% on June 1?No | buy | 340 | $0.036 | $12.11 | May 12, 2025 |
 Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?Yes | sell | 168.4 | $0.800 | $134.72 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?Yes | sell | 1.21K | $0.100 | $120.71 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.130 | $11.82 | May 10, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | sell | 58.63 | $0.340 | $19.93 | May 10, 2025 |
 Karen Read guilty in officer's death?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.353 | $17.65 | May 10, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MayNo | buy | 3.3K | $0.210 | $691.63 | May 10, 2025 |
 Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?Yes | sell | 1.93K | $0.996 | $1.92K | May 10, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 1.91K | $0.190 | $362.9 | May 9, 2025 |
| Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.69K | $0.670 | $1.13K | May 9, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 188 | $0.190 | $35.72 | May 9, 2025 |
| Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.55K | $0.367 | $568.95 | May 9, 2025 |
| Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?Yes | buy | 528 | $0.195 | $103.05 | May 9, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MayNo | buy | 19.99 | $0.150 | $3 | May 8, 2025 |
 Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?Yes | buy | 143.23 | $0.742 | $106.29 | May 7, 2025 |
 India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?No | buy | 6.25K | $0.018 | $110.33 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?Yes | sell | 190.83 | $0.520 | $99.23 | May 4, 2025 |
 US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.19K | $0.095 | $397.48 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 249 | $0.150 | $37.35 | May 1, 2025 |
 Which party wins the most primary votes in Australian election?Labor Party | buy | 85 | $0.250 | $21.25 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 561 | $0.190 | $106.59 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.999 | $1.05K | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | buy | 131 | $0.098 | $12.84 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will the Liberals win between 170-179 seats in the next Canadian Election?Yes | sell | 655.18 | $0.204 | $133.66 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.012 | $24 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.003 | $2.3 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Spain power outage caused by hack?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.040 | $12.71 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | sell | 3.75K | $0.215 | $807.8 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.300 | $240 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will the Liberals win between 170-179 seats in the next Canadian Election?Yes | buy | 222.09 | $0.247 | $54.84 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Liberals win majority in Canadian election?Yes | sell | 814 | $0.570 | $463.98 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 1.66K | $0.300 | $498 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Liberals win majority in Canadian election?Yes | buy | 814 | $0.580 | $472.12 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Trump approval >40% on June 1?No | buy | 1.31K | $0.150 | $196.65 | Apr 27, 2025 |