Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 3 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 396 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2023 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 68% on 13 Dec 2023 and the lowest 1.6% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 52.5% on 4 May 2024. $338.29K traded over the market's life.
187 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 7:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 396 points, 3 Dec 2023 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2023 | 41.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Frayed-Activist | Yes | 2.5K |
| jingles14 | Yes | 2.45K |
| Grandiose-Mood | Yes | 1.75K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenSea announces a token by December 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET, or to "No" otherwise. "Announces a token by December 31" means they confirm by December 31 that they will have a token, regardless of when the token actually launches. The resolution source is OpenSea (https://opensea.io/blog/, https://twitter.com/opensea, etc.).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/opensea-token-in-2024
| capncook | Yes | 927.16 |
| dankman553 | Yes | 832.78 |
| Accurate-Leg | Yes | 806.46 |
| 75prediction | Yes | 765.14 |
| realone111 | Yes | 750.34 |
| Optimistic-Temptress | Yes | 624.95 |
| Sagaoi | Yes | 477.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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