Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 4 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 4 Dec 2024 to 20 Jan 2025, the highest close was 38.5% on 10 Dec 2024 and the lowest 1.4% on 19 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 13.5% on 26 Dec 2024. $429.77K traded over the market's life.
103 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 6:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 4 Dec 2024 – 20 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2024 | 31.5% |
| 20 Jan 2025 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MrNGMI | Yes | 9.5K |
| Marshals | Yes | 2.92K |
| Buddhabutt | Yes | 2.82K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government sells any of its Bitcoin by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-us-government-sell-btc-before-trump-inauguration
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 1.15K |
| bbbbnnnas | Yes | 1K |
| Babagoon | Yes | 392.02 |
| Maxikin9 | Yes | 221.64 |
| pakmei | Yes | 200 |
| Sherryno1 | No | 200 |
| LEPS | Yes | 184.25 |
