Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.1%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 5 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 5 Nov 2025 to 1 Dec 2025, the highest close was 99.1% on 1 Dec 2025 and the lowest 52.5% on 5 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 85% on 25 Nov 2025. $1.46M traded over the market's life.
301 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 2, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 5 Nov 2025 – 1 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2025 | 52.5% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 99.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dontshowmyname | No | 13.78K |
| TheRedChip | No | 7.8K |
| puravida | No | 4.4K |
| pokemon111 | No | 4.4K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by November 30, 2025, 11:59 ET: - Zohran Mamdani loses the New York City Mayoral Election - US x Venezuela military engages - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Xi Jinping out - Nuclear weapon detonates - The US Government stays shut down Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+November.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-november
| hollyber | No | 4.04K |
| hopioman | No | 3.9K |
| ddalkkak | No | 3.44K |
| Golomolo69 | No | 2.45K |
| Yummy-Frosting | No | 1.54K |
| IvanVand | No | 1.24K |
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