
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 28 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 52.5% on 7 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 52.5% on 7 Sep 2024. $442.75K traded over the market's life.
91 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 6:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 28 Aug 2024 – 1 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2024 | 25.5% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vovanchik | Yes | 9.07K |
| LexaHeelfliper | Yes | 5.98K |
| TechnikUPG | Yes | 4.07K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum ETH-USDT between August 26, 23:59 ET and September 30, 23:59 ET has a final “Low” price of 1,999.99 or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH-USDT "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” candles selected on the top bar. To see the "Low" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "Low" at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH-USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-dips-below-2000-by-sept-30-2024
| Yes |
| 3.33K |
| norvegianforestcat | Yes | 846.22 |
| MeToo | Yes | 752.59 |
| Robbro | Yes | 626.96 |
| heuer | Yes | 438.02 |
| Klowbyby | Yes | 363.56 |
| abspls | Yes | 200 |
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