Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April?

cryptoResolved

No, settled May 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.3M

Resolved

Settled

May 1, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 May 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.4% on 2 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 2 Apr 2025 to 1 May 2025, the price held at 0.4%. $2.29M traded over the market's life.

387 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 2, 8:20 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 2 Apr 2025 – 1 May 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Christian75	Yes	77.55K
cccv	Yes	40.84K
BabyYoda12	Yes	25K
zhangcan	Yes	16.86K

10 of 387 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between April 1, 2025, 00:00 and April 30, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $200,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.