Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 64% on 15 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 80% on 17 Aug 2024 and the low 0.7% on 1 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 80% on 17 Aug 2024. $588.2K traded over the market's life.
132 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 12:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 48 points · 15 Aug 2024 – 1 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2024 | 64.0% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fafafofo | Yes | 76.84K |
| madvillain123 | Yes | 1.92K |
| Amber Ledger B961 | Yes | 1.1K |
| Neighboring-Institution | Yes | 1K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Monkeypox (Mpox) Clade 1 in the territory of the United States of America reported between August 10 and September 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g. the CDC), however sources from NGOs like the WHO, or information from other reputable medical institutions may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/confirmed-case-of-monkeypox-in-us-by-sept-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| McBadden | Yes | 714.29 |
| Bets54 | Yes | 485.77 |
| dr4gon | Yes | 357.14 |
| Atlant | Yes | 282.98 |
| WgtnNZ | Yes | 214.21 |
| BigMikeyObama | Yes | 156.76 |
