Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 11% on 15 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 353 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.9% on 31 Dec 2025 and the lowest 1.3% on 16 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 79.9% on 21 Nov 2025. $2.28M traded over the market's life.
551 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 353 points, 15 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2025 | 11.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 568.08K |
| MadSOL | No | 36.55K |
| Highqaulity | No | 22.64K |
This is a market on how whether 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Minecraft-Movie-A-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 4 - 6) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-best-opening-weekend-in-2025
| Jonnystacks16 | No | 5K |
| NSUTTSpU | No | 4.95K |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | No | 2.81K |
| psylord | No | 2.8K |
| FreeCityIndividual | No | 2.64K |
| shamlos | No | 1.86K |
| untaken | No | 1.09K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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