Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.170 | $2.55 | Jan 6, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 400 |
| $0.013 |
| $5.33 |
| Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.060 | $24 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | May 29, 2025 |
 Justin Bieber rehab in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | May 29, 2025 |
 Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | May 29, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | May 29, 2025 |
 Farcaster airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | May 29, 2025 |
 Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | May 29, 2025 |
 4chan confirmed Fed operation?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.018 | $1.07 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Elon Musk confirmed 4chan user SATANZ0Gpo?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.019 | $1.88 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Congress pass a bill limiting Trump's tariffs before July?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.080 | $3.2 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test before May?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 New pandemic in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.178 | $5.34 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.044 | $1.32 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.037 | $1.11 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Netanyahu out by 2025?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Weed rescheduled in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by January 31?Yes | buy | 75.13 | $0.040 | $3 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by June 30?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Bird flu vaccine in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Kraken IPO in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January?Yes | buy | 19.09 | $0.105 | $2 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.470 | $3 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 U.S. recession before May 2025?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Nov 19, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 7.9 | $0.633 | $5 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight NightBitboy | buy | 25.01 | $0.600 | $15 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Gladiator II gross more than $75m on opening weekend?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Nov 19, 2024 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?Yes | buy | 105.81 | $0.038 | $4 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will another movie gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 76.8 | $0.651 | $50 | Oct 26, 2024 |