Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 62% on 1 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 367 daily closes on record from 1 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 62% on 1 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 12% on 8 Mar 2025. $494.52K traded over the market's life.
295 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 25, 8:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 367 points, 1 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | 62.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| M88888 | Yes | 41.2K |
| absolutelysidd | Yes | 2.68K |
| Fabulous-Tailbud | Yes | 2.64K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kraken-ipo-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| MACandCHEESE | Yes | 2.22K |
| damo222 | Yes | 1.4K |
| Anjun | Yes | 1.14K |
| gongola | No | 1K |
| Turbo25 | Yes | 869.91 |
| Swift Horizon C429 | Yes | 660 |
| Cat | Yes | 538.46 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
