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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 1.8K | $0.001 | $1.8 | Jul 15, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 223.11 |
| $0.342 |
| $76.36 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.290 | $116 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 514.99 | $0.350 | $180.25 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.120 | $144 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.380 | $228 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 799.47 | $0.450 | $359.76 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.910 | $910 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.370 | $296 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.380 | $76 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.275 | $495.15 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.080 | $800 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.790 | $790 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 799.47 | $0.430 | $343.77 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.499 | $299.23 | Jun 18, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.550 | $220 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.170 | $204 | Jun 17, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 775.9 | $0.991 | $768.92 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 6.63K | $0.060 | $397.89 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?Yes | buy | 483.3 | $0.129 | $62.36 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes | buy | 319.25 | $0.672 | $214.56 | Jun 15, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.847 | $101.64 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.260 | $520 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.057 | $85.04 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 888 | $0.110 | $97.68 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 681.64 | $0.195 | $133.07 | Jun 12, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 895.9 | $0.115 | $103.21 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.770 | $385 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 383.21 | $0.630 | $241.42 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.82K | $0.045 | $219.1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 11.4K | $0.080 | $912.12 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 132.02 | $0.070 | $9.24 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.080 | $87.45 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.5K | $0.061 | $521.36 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 3.4K | $0.837 | $2.84K | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 18K | $0.080 | $1.44K | Jun 10, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.005 | $100 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 31.03K | $0.031 | $964.62 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 280 | $0.090 | $25.2 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.049 | $0.98 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 792.8 | $0.044 | $34.98 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Football.Fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.220 | $236.47 | Jan 15, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.953 | $14.3 | Jan 12, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 131.3 | $0.962 | $126.32 | Jan 11, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.34 | $0.961 | $6.09 | Jan 11, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.72K | $0.130 | $613.02 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 435 | $0.490 | $213.15 | Dec 29, 2025 |
VOOI FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 282.72 | $0.201 | $56.72 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 3.43K | $0.016 | $53.46 | Dec 16, 2025 |
USDT depeg in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.86K | $0.002 | $11.3 | Dec 16, 2025 |