Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 15 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 233 daily closes on record from 15 May 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 28.5% on 15 May 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 8.5% on 16 May 2025. $23.37K traded over the market's life.
61 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 233 points, 15 May 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 May 2025 | 28.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 363 |
| striderincity | Yes | 237.38 |
| skullface791 | Yes | 225 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Bieber checks into rehab for substance use between May 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be statements from Justin Bieber, his representatives, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/justin-bieber-rehab-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 221 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 210 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 200 |
| OdedTgT | Yes | 166.67 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 145.99 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 106 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
