Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.6% on 17 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 17 Apr 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 2.6% on 17 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 May 2025. $34.72K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 17 Apr 2025 – 1 May 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Apr 2025 | 2.6% |
| 1 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bonboni | No | 5.05 |
| Parz1vaI | No | 0.04 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 0.04 |
| CDO-Manager | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Elon Musk is the operator or direct controller of the 4chan account using the tripcode !SATANZ0Gpo, known as "The Antichrist," is made public by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Qualifying evidence includes but is not limited to public statements from Musk or a credible representative confirming the account, verified 4chan administrative data linking Musk to the account, official court or government records, or technical evidence like IP logs corroborated by reputable sources. Unverified allegations, anonymous claims, or documents not substantiated by credible reporting will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, and official information from Elon Musk.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-confirmed-4chan-user-satanz0gpo
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